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Yankees-Phillies World Series: How High Will The Ratings Go?

Posted on 28 October 2009 by Bill Gorman

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There hasn’t been a seven game World Series since 2002, the longest drought in at least the last 40 years.  A seven game series involving the New York Yankees would be great news for FOX.  At this point FOX would probably gladly settle for a six game series. There hasn’t been a series even that long since 2003, the last time the Yankees were in the World Series.

Bedeviled by rain delays (and the Tampa Bay Rays), the 2008 World Series had the lowest average viewership ever (13.6 million). Barring a 4 game sweep plus something else extraordinary, the 2009 World Series featuring the New York Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies should easily beat those ratings. The last time the Yankees were in the World Series (2003) the average viewership topped 20 million. I think a seven game series this year could test the 20 million level. Anything shorter than seven games and I think that 17 million average looks like a reasonable target.

In this century, for World Series average viewership to break 20 million, it requires the Yankees or the Red Sox. Although in 2000, even the Yankees couldn’t pull an all NY matchup above 20 million.

Full World Series Ratings Data, 1968-2008:

Year Net #Telecasts Rating Share Homes Viewers Teams
2008 FOX 5 8.4 14 13,635,000 Tampa Bay Rays/Philadelphia Phillies
2007 FOX 4 10.6 18 11,994,000 17,123,000 Boston Red Sox / Colorado Rockies
2006 FOX 5 10.1 17 11,282,000 15,812,000 St. Louis Cardinals /Detroit Tigers
2005 FOX 4 11.1 19 12,272,000 17,162,000 Chicago White Sox/Houston Astros
2004 FOX 4 15.8 26 17,270,000 25,390,000 Boston Red Sox/St. Louis Cardinals
2003 FOX 6 12.8 22 13,834,000 20,142,000 Florida Marlins / NY Yankees
2002 FOX 7 11.9 20 12,645,000 19,261,000 Anahiem Angels/San Francisco Giants
2001 FOX 7 15.7 26 16,519,000 24,528,000 Arizona Diamnondbacks / NY Yankees
2000 FOX 5 12.4 21 12,657,000 18,081,000 NY Yankees / NY Mets
1999 NBC 4 16.0 26 16,105,000 23,731,000 NY Yankees / Atlanta Braves
1998 FOX 4 14.1 24 14,050,000 20,340,000 NY Yankees / San Diego Padres
1997 NBC 7 16.7 29 16,410,000 24,790,000 Florida Marlins / Cleveland Indians
1996 FOX 6 17.4 29 16,890,000 25,220,000 NY Yankees / Atlanta Braves
1995 ABC 6 19.5 33 18,710,000 28,970,000 Atlanta Braves / Cleveland Indians
1994 Baseball Strike
1993 CBS 6 17.3 30 16,330,000 24,700,000 Toronto Blue Jays / Philadelphia Phillies
1992 CBS 6 20.2 34 18,820,000 30,010,000 Toronto Blue Jays / Atlanta Braves
1991 CBS 7 24.0 39 22,060,000 35,680,000 Minnesota Twins / Atlanta Braves
1990 CBS 4 20.8 36 19,320,000 30,240,000 Cincinnati Reds / Oakland Athletics
1989 ABC 4 16.4 29 15,090,000 24,550,000 Oakland Athletics / San Francisco Giants
1988 NBC 5 23.9 39 21,610,000 34,490,000 Los Angeles Dodgers / Oakland Athletics
1987 ABC 7 24.0 41 21,230,000 35,340,000 Minnesota Twins / St. Louis Cardinals
1986 NBC 7 28.6 46 23,640,000 36,370,000 New York Mets / Boston Red Sox
1985 ABC 7 25.3 39 21,740,000 34,510,000 Kansas City Royals / St. Louis Cardinals
1984 NBC 5 22.9 40 19,270,000 28,010,000 Detroit Tigers / San Diego Padres
1983 ABC 5 23.3 41 19,570,000 29,540,000 Baltimore Orioles / Philadelphia Phillies
1982 NBC 7 27.9 49 23,370,000 38,070,000 St. Louis Cardinals / Milwaukee Brewers
1981 ABC 6 30.0 49 24,480,000 41,370,000 Los Angeles Dodgers / NY Yankees
1980 NBC 6 32.8 56 25,380,000 42,300,000 Philadelphia Phillies / Kansas City Royals
1979 ABC 7 28.5 50 21,730,000 37,960,000 Pittsburgh Pirates / Baltimore Orioles
1978 NBC 6 32.8 56 24,450,000 44,278,950 NY Yankees / Los Angeles Dodgers
1977 ABC 6 29.8 53 21,720,000 37,150,000 NY Yankees / Los Angeles Dodgers
1976 NBC 4 27.5 48 19,580,000 34,720,000 Cincinnati Reds / NY Yankees
1975 NBC 7 28.7 52 19,980,000 35,960,000 Cincinnati Reds / Boston Red Sox
1974 NBC 5 25.6 46 17,540,000 29,080,000 Oakland Athletics / Los Angeles Dodgers
1973 NBC 7 30.7 57 20,320,000 34,750,000 Oakland Athletics / NY Mets
1972 NBC 7 27.5 58 NA NA Oakland Athletics / Cincinnati Reds
1971 NBC 7 24.2 59 NA NA Pittsburgh Pirates / Baltimore Orioles
1970 NBC 5 19.4 53 NA NA Baltimore Orioles / Cincinnati Reds
1969 NBC 5 22.4 58 NA NA NY Mets / Baltimore Orioles
1968 NBC 7 22.8 57 NA NA Detroit Tigers / St. Louis Cardinals

*While there were six telecasts for the 2008 series, there were only five games. The sixth telecast was the completion of game five which was suspended due to rain.

Copyright © 2009 The Nielsen Company. All Rights Reserved.

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27 Responses to “Yankees-Phillies World Series: How High Will The Ratings Go?”

  1. Charles says:

    When is the world series?

  2. Dingo says:

    Starts tonight.

  3. Both teams are very strong. Six.

  4. E says:

    I am glad that Fox is starting the games just before 8pm.
    However, I think they are making a big mistake by starting the Sunday game at 8:20.
    They will have a HUGE audience (possibly the biggest regular season NFL audience in years) for the GB-Minnesota game.
    If it doesn’t go into overtime, the GB-Minnesota game should end by 7:30 ET. FOx would be wise to start the WS game on Sunday by no later than 8pm to hold that audience. With the post game NFL, and pre game World Series that follows, they are going to lose alot of viewers.
    Not a smart move by FOx.
    Also, for the fans, I think Fox should start the Saturday Night games earlier. I know they will never have an afternoon game, but, it would be good to start the Saturday game at 7pm. I do not think it would effect the ratings on a Saturday.

  5. Adam says:

    Given the trajectory of the year-to-year graph you showed, shouldn’t the question be how LOW will the ratings go?

  6. CP says:

    The first game will probably get the highest rating with C.C. vs. Cliff Lee. I hope the yankees sweep, but that’s just me.

  7. jim says:

    Lets go Yankees! Yanks in six!

  8. gbd says:

    I’ll be anxious to see the local NY/Philly ratings vs the National numbers as well.

  9. Mark says:

    Yankees outpsend all other teams. They represent everything thats wrong with baseball. They are bad for baseball. Phillies are a big spenidng team as well but not to the extent of the yankees. Go phillies.

    Screw the yankees the world does not revolve around new york even if espn makes you think so!!

  10. Buzz says:

    Why is viewership going down, let’s see the first round was on cable, the NLCS was on cable. In these rough times people are dropping cable/satellite to save money so you can’t watch them.
    That why the NFL is the #1 sport in the USA, almost all of the games are shown on over the air channels, and if you team is on cable, if it’s soldout, a local channel shows the game, can’t say that about any sport other than the NFL

  11. dumont says:

    I have a sense that this World Series will go down to seven games and it will average over 30 million viewers. FOX will crush the other nets in the November Sweep, and go on to win the 2009-10 season with their biggest margin of victory yet.

  12. unknown says:

    Wow, I knew there where WS sweeps these past few years but I didnt know the last 6 game series was with the Yankees and THE WS CHAMPS FLORIDA MARLINS!!! I saw all of them ^_^. So proud of the Marlins that Year lol.

    Anyway, FOX should be really happy with baseball this year. the Angles/Yankees series where incredible and got them major ratings and im pretty positive people will be watching the WS this year.

  13. HotPocket says:

    Look at the different matchups back in the 70s and 80s. It seems like ever since the Strike the sport has struggled to pull in huge numbers like the NFL Playoffs. The sport needs to get a salary cap and have more parity. Its important that every team.

    Its just not a balanced sport right now and that’s why FOX is so dependent on the Yanks and Red Sox. The other major sports don’t really have this problem as they rely on their biggest teams for a solid rating. The NHL is a different story b/c that league is trying to rebuild itself.

  14. romo says:

    To adam:
    if u think this will be less viewers than the last few years u are totally lost.

  15. romo says:

    To cp:
    if u think that game 1 will be higher than sundays game after favre/pack….then u might be hangin with adam too much….lol.

  16. Joe D says:

    Looking at your chart FOX would have been even happier had it been a Dodgers-Yankees series. It will be interesting how ratings are east coast vs west coast as our start times are 5pm.

  17. sdf says:

    I’m actually hoping they don’t make it to seven games, because I think that would mean “Bones” gets preempted on November 5th.

  18. Alex S. says:

    Go Yankees!

    I pray for a 4 game sweep!

  19. Brando says:

    Yanks in 6. Next Wed: WS Ring #27. It’s destiNY. You don’t bet against it.

  20. mike says:

    Phillies in 6.

  21. R.G says:

    I’m surprised my hometown Astros when they were in the World Series 4 years ago, got 17 million average. I though they would get only 8 million with them in.

  22. romo says:

    Chicago bumped the astros series #s.

  23. NBCSeeUs1978 says:

    If the Chicago Cubs are ever in a World Series then it would be the highest rated World Series of all-time or at least 30 million viewers.

    Imagine a Game 7 at Wrigley for the World Series and a close game. That would break some records.

  24. Gleebo says:

    I don’t think it’s crazy to say that if the Cubs ever make the WS that the ratings they are getting now would more than double. Now imagine a Cubs/Yankees or Red Sox World Series. If both teams had not collapsed in their league championship the 2003 World Series with Bos/Chc would have been the biggest sporting event of our time. That series would still be a big one now but since the Sox broke their curse and won it(2004 and again in 2007) it wouldn’t have quite the same level of excitement. That would have been pandemonium in Chicago and Boston.

  25. Bill Gorman says:

    19.5 million for game one was more than I expected. My guess of 17 million in a 4 game series was *way* too low.

    20 million seems the floor for a very short series now, and a long series has a chance at topping the 2004 series average.

  26. romo says:

    Bill how can have guessed only 17m ?
    Last nite was against reruns + sunday with favres leadin + 2 big markets.

  27. Bill Gorman says:

    romo, 2007’s 4 game series averaged 17 million with a somewhat worse matchup. The 2003 4 game series averaged only 20 million with the Yankees. To those numbers I applied a general “everything on broadcast is down every year” factor which turned out to be too big.


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